Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/13/2024

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, January 13, 2024

Venue:  GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO

Where to Watch:  Peacock

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Dolphins +3.5, Chiefs -3.5; Over/Under:  42.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Dolphins +3.5, Chiefs -3.5; Over/Under:  42.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Dolphins +3.5, Chiefs -3.5; Over/Under:  42.5 points

Miami Dolphins:  11-6 (2nd place, AFC East)

Kansas City Chiefs:  11-6 (1st place, AFC West)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Nelly’s Sports is on a HOT STREAK in the NFL on a 25-13-2 NFL RUN for +$10,710 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Miami Dolphins:  lost their last game at home against the Buffalo Bills 21-14.

Kansas City Chiefs:  won their last game on the road against the Los Angeles Chargers 13-12.

The Dolphins are entering this game with an 11-6 record overall and they have a 4-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 7-2 in their home games, 4-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Buffalo Bills 21-14. Tua Tagovailoa was the starting QB and he completed 17/27 passes for 173 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. De’Von Achane led the team in rushing yards with 56 and 1 TD. Tyreek Hill led the receivers with 82 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. David Long Jr. led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Melvin Ingram led the defense in sacks with 1.5. DeShon Elliott and Eli Apple each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

The Chiefs are entering this game with an 11-6 record overall and they have a 4-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-4 in their home games, 6-2 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the LA Chargers 13-12. Blaine Gabbert was the starting QB and he completed 15/30 passes for 154 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. La’Mical Perine led the team in rushing yards with 76. Mecole Hardman Jr. led the receivers with 77 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Cam Jones led the defense in that game with 11 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Malik Herring, Charles Omenihu, and Chris Jones each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have the Chiefs listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chiefs have looked good in their games this season with their 11-6 record overall which won the AFC West. They went through a rough stretch a few weeks ago and have still been feeling the effects from that, but lately they have looked a lot better in their games and even managed to win their last game of the season while resting most of their starters on offense. Meanwhile, the Dolphins have also looked good in their games this season with their 11-6 record overall but after such a hot start to the year, they haven't looked great over the last month as they have been losing more games which ended up costing them the AFC East. They were leading their division all season until last week when they lost at home to the Bills which was the 1st time the Bills led the division all season, winning it with that win. The Dolphins just haven't looked good in their games lately and these two already met in Germany earlier this season, a game that the Chiefs won by a touchdown at a neutral site and now have a home game here. The Chiefs were also able to rest their players last week since they had already clinched while the Dolphins were fighting to win the AFC East which they ended up losing along with some more key players that have already been dropping like flies for them over the last few weeks. The Dolphins have already been struggling more recently while the Chiefs are starting to turn things around at the right time and all the injuries for the Dolphins are also starting to pile up now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Chiefs to cover the spread in this game. 

Dolphins Chiefs Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Saturday, January 13, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 24 Dolphins 17.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Miami Dolphins Kansas City Chiefs prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NFL predictions and previews.

Miami Dolphins: 6-0 ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points. 48-24 ATS against AFC West division opponents. 11-5 ATS off a division game. 12-4 UNDER in playoff games. 5-1 UNDER off a loss against a division rival. 8-2 UNDER after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game.

Kansas City Chiefs: 5-10 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 2-7 ATS in the Wild Card round of the playoffs. 8-15 ATS after scoring and allowing 14 pts or less points. 12-5 UNDER in all games. 20-9 UNDER as a home favorite. 7-1 UNDER after a win by 3 or less points.

Miami Dolphins:  J. Waddle (WR) day-to-day - Ankle. X. Howard (CB) day-to-day - Foot. R. Mostert (RB) day-to-day - Ankle. A. Van Ginkel (LB) day-to-day - Foot. B. Chubb (LB) I-R - Knee. C. Williams (OL) I-R - Knee. J. Phillips (LB) I-R - Achilles. S. Ahmed (RB) Out indefinitely - Foot. I. Wynn (OL) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. E. Ezukanma (WR) Out indefinitely - Neck. K. Crossen (DB) I-R - Undisclosed. Z. Vandenburgh (LB) I-R - Undisclosed.

Kansas City Chiefs:  L. Sneed (CB) day-to-day - Calf. T. Kelce (TE) day-to-day - Neck. R. Rice (WR) day-to-day - Hamstring. K. Toney (WR) day-to-day - Hip. N. Remigio (WR) Out indefinitely - Foot. D. Smith (T) Out indefinitely - Neck. J. McKinnon (RB) Out indefinitely - Groin. B. Cook (S) Out indefinitely - Ankle. S. Moore (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee. B. Thompson (DE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. P. Wanogho (T) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. J. Fortson (TE) I-R - Shoulder. N. Johnson (S) I-R - Knee.

“We’re going to have to come in tomorrow, we’re going to have to watch the film, see things we can get corrected and then move on. It’s a short week. We know that and it’s going to be a tough road game for us.” - Tua Tagovailoa after their loss against the Bills in their last game. 

“Blaine did a great job with the long runs. It gives those young guys a lift not only to say that they got in but that they won the game.” - Andy Reid after his team’s win against the LA Chargers in their last game. 

WR Waddle, Jaylen 

WR Hill, Tyreek 

WR Berrios, Braxton 

TE Smythe, Durham 

QB Tagovailoa, Tua 

RB Mostert, Raheem 

FB Ingold, Alec

WR Watson, Justin

WR Valdes-Scantling, Marquez 

WR Rice, Rashee 

TE Kelce, Travis 

QB Mahomes, Patrick 

RB Pacheco, Isiah

Passing: T. Tagovailoa (4624)

Rushing: R. Mostert (1012)

Receiving: T. Hill (1799)

Touchdowns: R. Mostert (21)

Passing: P. Mahomes (4183)

Rushing: I. Pacheco (935)

Receiving: T. Kelce (984)

Touchdowns: I. Pacheco (9)

Coaches:

Miami Dolphins: Mike McDaniel (2nd season)

Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (11th season)