Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/06/2024

by Rod Pearson

Sunday, May 05, 2024
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Monday, May 6, 2024
Venue:  Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Pacers +6, Knicks -6; Over/Under:  217.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Pacers +6, Knicks -6; Over/Under:  217.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Pacers +5.5, Knicks -5.5; Over/Under:  217.5 points

Season Record

Indiana Pacers:  47-35 (3rd place, Central Division)
New York Knicks:  50-32 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)

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Recent Form
Indiana Pacers:  7-3 last 10
New York Knicks:  8-2 last 10


Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks Preview and Analysis


The Pacers are entering this game with a 47-35 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 21-20 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Milwaukee Bucks in their last game. Obi Toppin led the team in points in that game with 21 while T. J. McConnell was next on the team with 20 points. Tyrese Haliburton led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Obi Toppin led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 54.1% from the field, 32.5% from 3-point range, and 88.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 123.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 120.2 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 47-39-3 this season and their O/U record is 46-41-2.



The Knicks are entering this game with a 50-32 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 27-14 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Philadelphia 76ers in their last game. Jalen Brunson led the team in points in that game with 41 while Donte DiVincenzo was next on the team with 23 points. Jalen Brunson led the team in assists in that game with 12 while Josh Hart led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 46.2% from the field, 45.2% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.2 PPG against them. The Knicks have an ATS record of 46-39-3 this season and their O/U record is 41-47.


Pacers vs Knicks Prediction

The current betting odds have the Knicks listed as a 6 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 1 of a 7 game series between the 2nd seeded Knicks and the 6th seeded Pacers for Round 2 of the NBA Eastern Conference playoffs. Both of these teams won their last series in 6 games, but the Knicks had a much tougher opponent. The Knicks were taking on the 7th seed 76ers but the 76ers were finally healthy coming into that series and were one of the hottest teams in the NBA to end the regular season. The Pacers took on a much higher 3rd seeded Bucks in the last round, but the Bucks were missing their star player, Giannis Antetokounmpo, in every single game of that series and they were also missing Damian Lillard in a few of those games. The Pacers haven't looked as good in their road games this season with their 21-20 road record and it showed in the last series as they lost 2 of their 3 road games with the Bucks missing some key players in those games. The Pacers have a lot of young talent but they already got smacked in the 1st game of their last series and this game is going to be no different on the road against a much stronger team that is healthy. The best way to place a bet here is on the Knicks to cover the spread in this game. 

Pacers Knicks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Monday, May 6, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Knicks 119 Pacers 110.
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NBA Betting Trends


Indiana Pacers: 3-10 ATS off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. 17-29 ATS after a game where they covered the spread. 4-11 ATS in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 13-5 OVER against Atlantic division opponents. 15-8 OVER off a win against a division rival. 

New York Knicks: 11-4 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent. 29-20 ATS as a favorite. 9-3 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more. 24-16 OVER after one or more consecutive overs. 10-5 OVER off an upset win as an underdog. 16-8 OVER revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more.

Key Injuries


Indiana Pacers:  B. Mathurin (SG) out for season - Shoulder.

New York Knicks:  J. Sims (C) Ques Mon - Shoulder. B. Bogdanovic (SF) out for season - Wrist. J. Randle (PF) out for season - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“It means a lot. Not getting into the playoffs since the bubble, not being able to advance since 2014, we take great pride in being able to advance and extend our season. Milwaukee has a great team and, if I can be honest with you, I think our bench has taken a couple steps back competitive wise and I think tonight all of us went out there with the mentality we’re going to take it to another level.” - T.J. McConnell after their win against the Bucks in game 6 of that series on Thursday, winning that series 4-2.


“The fourth quarter was just one big play after the next.” - Tom Thibodeau after his team’s win against the 76ers in game 6 of that series on Thursday, winning that series 4-2. 


Starting Lineups


Indiana Pacers
PG Tyrese Haliburton
SG Andrew Nembhard
SF Aaron Nesmith 
PF Pascal Siakam 
C Myles Turner

New York Knicks
PG Jalen Brunson
SG Donte DiVincenzo
SF Josh Hart
PF OG Anunoby
C Isaiah Hartenstein

Statistical Leaders


Indiana Pacers
PPG: P. Siakam (21.7)
APG: T. Haliburton (10.9)
Reb/G: P. Siakam (7.1)

New York Knicks
PPG: J. Brunson (28.7)
APG: J. Brunson (6.7)
Reb/G: J. Randle (9.2)

Coaches:
Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (3rd season)
New York Knicks: Tom Thibodeau (4th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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