Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/23/2024

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Apr 22, 2024
Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Tuesday, April 23, 2024
Venue:  Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI 
Where to Watch:  NBA TV


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Pacers +1.5, Bucks -1.5; Over/Under:  225.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Pacers +1.5, Bucks -1.5; Over/Under:  225.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Pacers +1.5, Bucks -1.5; Over/Under:  225.5 points

Season Record

Indiana Pacers:  47-35 (3rd place, Central Division)
Milwaukee Bucks:  49-33 (1st place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Indiana Pacers:  6-4 last 10
Milwaukee Bucks:  4-6 last 10


Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Preview and Analysis


The Pacers are entering this game with a 47-35 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 21-20 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Milwaukee Bucks in their last game. Pascal Siakam led the team in points in that game with 36 while Myles Turner was next on the team with 17 points. Tyrese Haliburton led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Pascal Siakam led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 39.6% from the field, 20.5% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 123.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 120.2 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 44-37-3 this season and their O/U record is 42-40-2.



The Bucks are entering this game with a 49-33 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 31-11 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Indiana Pacers in their last game. Damian Lillard led the team in points in that game with 35 while Khris Middleton was next on the team with 23 points. Patrick Beverley led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Bobby Portis Jr. led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 47.1% from the field, 37.8% from 3-point range, and 100% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.4 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 36-46-1 this season and their O/U record is 40-42-1.


Pacers vs Bucks Prediction

The current betting odds have the Bucks listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 2 of a 7 game series between the 3rd seeded Bucks and the 6th seeded Pacers for Round 1 of the NBA Eastern Conference playoffs. The Bucks have a 1-0 series lead after winning game 1 on their home court. The Bucks have looked great on their home court all season with their 31-11 home record. They haven't looked great in their games lately as they ended the season losing a lot of games, even slipping down to the 3rd seed when they were in 2nd place all season, but they showed up when they needed to in game 1. They may only be 4-6 in their last 10 games but they found a way to win game 1 without Giannis and Lillard really carried the team in that game. The Pacers haven't been a bad road team this year but they haven't looked nearly as good in their road games this year with their 21-20 road record. The Bucks already showed in game 1 that they can without Giannis in the lineup and this is going to be a similar game that Lillard takes over on their home court as they try to take advantage of their home games without their star player. The Pacers are going to push back with a better performance in this 2nd game, but they haven't been a team that has played well on defense all year and with the playoff experience that some of the players on the Bucks have, it will be too much for the Pacers to even up this series on the road here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bucks to cover the spread in this game.

Pacers Bucks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, April 23, 2024 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Bucks 111 Pacers 98.
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NBA Betting Trends


Indiana Pacers: 25-16 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent. 27-15 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 12-5 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more. 26-11 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread. 10-3 OVER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite. 28-15 OVER off an upset loss as a favorite. 9-2 OVER after scoring 95 points or less.

Milwaukee Bucks: 16-22 ATS as a home favorite. 6-12 ATS vs. division opponents. 22-45 ATS off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. 32-19 OVER in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 13-7 OVER off a home win against a division rival. 

Key Injuries


Indiana Pacers:  B. Mathurin (SG) out for season - Shoulder.

Milwaukee Bucks:  G. Antetokounmpo (SF) Early May - Calf. J. Galloway (SF) Out indefinitely - Ankle.


Notable Quotes


“The first half was embarrassing. No excuses. We’ve simply got to come out better. It was ugly, and we all own it.” - Rick Carlisle after his team’s loss against the Bucks in game 1 of this series on Sunday.


“He's got that prizefighter-like mentality. It's almost like he's training for the fight. When the bell rings, he seems to be ready.” - Doc Rivers after his team’s win against the Pacers in game 1 of this series on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Indiana Pacers
PG Tyrese Haliburton
SG Andrew Nembhard
SF Aaron Nesmith 
PF Pascal Siakam 
C Myles Turner

Milwaukee Bucks
PG Damian Lillard
SG Patrick Beverley
SF Khris Middleton
PF Jae Crowder
C Brook Lopez

Statistical Leaders


Indiana Pacers
PPG: P. Siakam (21.7)
APG: T. Haliburton (10.9)
Reb/G: P. Siakam (7.1)

Milwaukee Bucks
PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.4)
APG: D. Lillard (7)
Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.5)

Coaches:
Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (3rd season)
Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (1st season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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