Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/20/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jan 16, 2024
Game Time: 4:30 pm ET, Saturday, January 20, 2024
Venue:  M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texans +9.5, Ravens -9.5; Over/Under:  45.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texans +9, Ravens -9; Over/Under:  45 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texans +9.5, Ravens -9.5; Over/Under:  45 points

Season Record

Houston Texans:  10-7 (1st place, AFC South)
Baltimore Ravens:  13-4 (1st place, AFC North)

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Recent Form
Houston Texans:  won their last game at home against the Cleveland Browns 45-14.
Baltimore Ravens:  lost their last game at home against the Pittsburgh Steelers 17-10.


Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens Preview and Analysis


The Texans are entering this game with a 10-7 record overall and they have a 4-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 6-3 in their home games, 4-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Cleveland Browns 45-14 in the AFC Wild Card Round of the NFL playoffs. CJ Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 16/21 passes for 274 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Devin Singletary led the team in rushing yards with 66 and 1 TD. Nico Collins led the receivers with 96 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Desmond King II led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Christian Harris, Will Anderson Jr, Kurt Hinish, and Derek Barnett each led the defense in sacks with 1. Christian Harris and Steven Nelson each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
The Ravens are entering this game with a 13-4 record overall and they have a 3-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 6-3 in their home games, 6-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Pittsburgh Steelers 17-10 in their final game of the regular season. Tyler Huntley was the starting QB and he completed 15/28 passes for 146 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Gus Edwards led the team in rushing yards with 48. Nelson Agholor led the receivers with 39 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Del'Shawn Phillips led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Trenton Simpson, Jadeveon Clowney, and Kyle Van Noy each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.


Texans vs Ravens Prediction

The current betting odds have the Texans listed as a 9.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Texans have looked really good in their games this season with their 10-7 record overall which won the AFC South with a rookie QB and a 1st year head coach. They looked great in the Wild Card Round too as they took down one of the best defenses in the NFL, blowing out the Cleveland Browns by over 30 points in the game. Meanwhile, the Ravens have looked great in their games all season with their 13-4 record overall which won the AFC North and the number 1 seed in the AFC as they have the best record in the NFL this year. They have looked great in their home games too with their 6-3 home record and they have had extra rest for this game with the 1st round bye week. They did lose their last game of the season in a game where they didn't play many starters on offense. These two teams also played each other in the very 1st game of the NFL season, the Ravens winning that game 25-9 in Baltimore, but both of these teams have come a long way since then and are very different teams now. CJ Stroud has been lighting defenses up all season and even though the Ravens have one of the best defenses in the NFL, Stroud just lit up the Browns defense in their last game who also had one of the best defenses in the league. This will be an exciting game with 2 young franchise QBs and as good as the Ravens have been this year, the Texans have a lot of momentum on their side right now and they are going to fight right to the end to keep this game close in the Divisional Round of the playoffs. The best way to place a bet here is on the Texans to cover the spread in this game. 

Texans Ravens Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Saturday, January 20, 2024 (4:30 pm ET start time) is Ravens 31 Texans 24.
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NFL Betting Trends


Houston Texans: 21-40 ATS off an upset win as an underdog. 8-19 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 23-40 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 16-9 UNDER in road games. 12-5 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 15-3 UNDER after a win by 21 or more points.

Baltimore Ravens: 11-6 ATS in all games. 9-2 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 8-1 ATS off a loss against a division rival. 16-6 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 24-13 UNDER as a favorite. 39-15 UNDER against AFC South division opponents. 

Key Injuries


Houston Texans:  N. Brown (WR) I-R - Back. J. Hughes (DE) Ques Sat - Ankle. L. Tunsil (OT) Ques Sat - Leg. J. Ward (S) I-R - Quadricep. D. Horton (DE) Out indefinitely - Illness. T. Thomas (CB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. T. Dell (WR) I-R - Leg. T. Howard (OT) I-R - Knee. G. Arnold (S) Out indefinitely - Calf. M. Stewart (S) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. H. Ridgeway (DT) Out indefinitely - Achilles. T. Quitoriano (TE) Out indefinitely - Groin. J. Patterson (C) Out indefinitely - Ankle. E. Murray (S) Out indefinitely - Knee. K. Green (C) I-R - Knee. K. Green (G) I-R - Shoulder. K. Zierer (OT) I-R - Ankle. T. Hairston (FB) I-R - Back. J. Matthews (WR) I-R - Knee. D. Scaife Jr. (OT) I-R - Leg. S. Quessenberry (C) I-R - Knee.

Baltimore Ravens:  D. Williams (CB) I-R - Undisclosed. M. Andrews (TE) day-to-day - Ankle. D. Duvernay (WR) day-to-day - Back. K. Zeitler (G) day-to-day - Knee. Z. Flowers (WR) day-to-day - Calf. M. Harrison (LB) day-to-day - Groin. M. Humphrey (CB) day-to-day - Calf. K. Hamilton (S) day-to-day - Knee. A. Washington (S) day-to-day - Chest. D. Worley (CB) I-R - Head. J. Armour-Davis (CB) I-R - Concussion. M. Hamm (LB) I-R - Lower Body. K. Mitchell (RB) I-R - Knee. D. Ojabo (LB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. J. Dobbins (RB) I-R - Achilles. T. Bowser (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. T. Mullen (CB) Out indefinitely - Toe. A. Vorhees (OL) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Notable Quotes


“C.J. is the reason why we’re in this position. He’s special, a special young man. Special player. Continues to shine no matter how big the moment is. Our whole team is leaning on him and he has the shoulders to carry that weight.” - DeMeco Ryans after his team’s win against the Browns in their last game. 


“We had a chance to send them home, now they have a chance to go to the playoffs. It stings a little bit ... but we have a lot of pages in our book that set us up pretty good. Nobody’s hanging their head or anything. If we see those guys again, we’ll be ready.” - Patrick Queen after their loss against the Steelers in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Houston Texans
WR Collins, Nico 
WR Metchie III, John 
WR Woods, Robert 
TE Schultz, Dalton 
QB Stroud, C.J. 
RB Singletary, Devin 
FB Beck, Andrew 

Baltimore Ravens
WR Beckham JR., Odell
WR Bateman, Rashod 
WR Flowers, Zay 
TE Likely, Isaiah 
QB Jackson, Lamar 
RB Edwards, Gus  
FB Ricard, Patrick

Statistical Leaders


Houston Texans
Passing: C. Stroud (4108)
Rushing: D. Singletary (898)
Receiving: N. Collins (1297)
Touchdowns: N. Collins (8) 

Baltimore Ravens
Passing: L. Jackson (3678)
Rushing: L. Jackson (821)
Receiving: Z. Flowers (858)
Touchdowns: G. Edwards (13)

Coaches:
Houston Texans: DeMeco Ryans (1st season)
Baltimore Ravens: John Harbaugh (16th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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