by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Jan 16, 2024
Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Saturday, January 20, 2024
Venue: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Packers +10, 49ers -10; Over/Under: 49.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Packers +10, 49ers -10; Over/Under: 50 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Packers +10, 49ers -10; Over/Under: 50.5 points
Season Record
Green Bay Packers: 9-8 (2nd place, NFC North)
San Francisco 49ers: 12-5 (1st place, NFC West)
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Green Bay Packers: won their last game on the road against the Dallas Cowboys 48-32.
San Francisco 49ers: lost their last game at home against the Los Angeles Rams 21-20.
Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers Preview and Analysis
The Packers are entering this game with a 9-8 record overall and they have a 4-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-3 in their home games, 4-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Dallas Cowboys 48-32 in the NFC Wild Card Round of the NFL playoffs. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 16/21 passes for 272 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Aaron Jones led the team in rushing yards with 118 and 3 TDs. Romeo Doubs led the receivers with 151 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Keisean Nixon led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Keisean Nixon, De'Vondre Campbell, Lukas Van Ness, and Preston Smith each led the defense in sacks with 1. Jaire Alexander and Darnell Savage Jr. each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
The 49ers are entering this game with a 12-5 record overall and they have a 5-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-3 in their home games, 7-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Los Angeles Rams 21-20 in their final game of the regular season. Sam Darnold was the starting QB and he completed 16/26 passes for 189 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Elijah Mitchell led the team in rushing yards with 52 and 1 TD. Chris Conley led the receivers with 69 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Isaiah Oliver led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Oren Burks and Robert Beal Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 1. Tayler Hawkins came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Packers vs 49ers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Packers listed as a 10 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Packers have looked good in their games this season with their 9-8 record overall which just got them into the playoffs with the last Wild Card spot in the NFC. They have looked really good in their games lately as they have been getting hot the last few weeks just to make it to the playoffs, but now they have all the momentum on their side after a huge win against the Cowboys in Dallas in the NFC Wild Card Round. Meanwhile, the 49ers have looked great in their games this season with their 12-5 record overall which won the NFC West and the number 1 seed in the NFC. They have the luxury of extra rest for this game since they had the bye week in the last round but they are still coming off a loss in that last game of the regular season they played. They didn't play many starters in that game but they could get off to a slower start here with the lay off and the way the Packers looked in that last game on the road, they are going to be a threat to get out to another fast start here. Just like the Cowboys, the 49ers are built to play with a lead and they could have some trouble getting ahead if they fall behind here. This is also a ton of points to cover if they do fall behind but even if they don't, the Packers showed last week that they have the offense to go toe-to-toe here with the 49ers. Jordan Love is looking to prove a point here that he can be the franchise QB for this team and he will be playing with extra motivation here along with the momentum they have from that win last week. The best way to place a bet here is on the Packers to cover the spread in this game.
Packers 49ers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Saturday, January 20, 2024 (8:15 pm ET start time) is 49ers 34 Packers 30.
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NFL Betting Trends
Green Bay Packers: 9-16 ATS after playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored. 5-8 ATS after allowing 500 or more total yards in their previous game. 8-2 OVER in road games. 29-15 OVER in playoff games. 9-2 OVER off an upset win as an underdog.
San Francisco 49ers: 34-22 ATS in all games. 28-19 ATS as a favorite. 5-1 ATS in playoff games. 18-6 ATS off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite. 6-1 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 9-5 OVER off an upset loss to a division rival as a home favorite. 12-7 OVER off an extremely close home loss by 3 points or less.
Key Injuries
Green Bay Packers: A. Dillon (RB) Ques Sat - Stinger. C. Jones (OT) Ques Sat - Foot. L. Tenuta (OT) I-R - Ankle. R. Ford (S) I-R - Hamstring. S. Toure (WR) I-R - Knee. E. Stokes (CB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. D. Bakhtiari (OT) I-R - Knee. T. Davis (TE) I-R - Knee.
San Francisco 49ers: A. Thomas (CB) Ques Sat - Hand. T. Gipson Sr. (S) Ques Sat - Quadricep. C. McCaffrey (RB) Prob Sat - Calf. J. Brown (S) Ques Sat - Knee. J. Jennings (WR) Ques Sat - Concussion. G. Odum (S) Ques Sat - Bicep. D. Gray (WR) Ques Sat - Shoulder. A. Armstead (DL) Out indefinitely - Foot. R. Dwelley (TE) I-R - Ankle. K. Davis (DL) Out indefinitely - Ankle. T. Hufanga (S) I-R - Knee. N. Zakelj (OL) I-R - Bicep. D. Jackson (DL) Out indefinitely - Knee. C. Latu (TE) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“We came in here with a mindset of we’re going to dominate. A lot of people were counting us out, and we didn’t care about that.” - Jordan Love after their win against the Cowboys in their last game.
“We both knew what this game was for both of us. We both wanted to win but first thing was trying to keep our players safe.” - Kyle Shanahan after his team’s loss against the LA Rams in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Green Bay Packers
WR Watson, Christian
WR Doubs, Romeo
WR Reed, Jayden
TE Musgrave, Luke
QB Love, Jordan
RB Jones, Aaron
FB Deguara, Josiah
San Francisco 49ers
WR Aiyuk, Brandon
WR Samuel, Deebo
WR Jennings, Jauan
TE Kittle, George
QB Purdy, Brock
RB McCaffrey, Christian
FB Juszczyk, Kyle
Statistical Leaders
Green Bay Packers
Passing: J. Love (4159)
Rushing: A. Jones (656)
Receiving: J. Reed (793)
Touchdowns: J. Reed (10)
San Francisco 49ers
Passing: B. Purdy (4280)
Rushing: C. McCaffrey (1459)
Receiving: B. Aiyuk (1317)
Touchdowns: C. McCaffrey (21)
Coaches:
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (5th season)
San Francisco 49ers: Kyle Shanahan (7th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
