Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/14/2024

Game Time: 4:30 pm ET, Sunday, January 14, 2024

Venue:  AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Packers +7.5, Cowboys -7.5; Over/Under:  49.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Packers +7.5, Cowboys -7.5; Over/Under:  49.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Packers +7.5, Cowboys -7.5; Over/Under:  49.5 points

Green Bay Packers:  9-8 (2nd place, NFC North)

Dallas Cowboys:  12-5 (1st place, NFC East)

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Green Bay Packers:  won their last game at home against the Chicago Bears 17-9.

Dallas Cowboys:  won their last game on the road against the Washington Commanders 38-10.

The Packers are entering this game with a 9-8 record overall and they have a 4-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-3 in their home games, 4-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Chicago Bears 17-9. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 27/32 passes for 316 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Aaron Jones led the team in rushing yards with 111. Jayden Reed led the receivers with 112 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Quay Walker led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Quay Walker, Lukas Van Ness, Karl Brooks, Kenny Clark, and Devonte Wyatt each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

The Cowboys are entering this game with a 12-5 record overall and they have a 5-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 8-0 in their home games, 4-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Washington Commanders 38-10. Dak Prescott was the starting QB and he completed 31/36 passes for 279 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Tony Pollard led the team in rushing yards with 70 and 1 TD. CeeDee Lamb led the receivers with 98 receiving yards on 13 receptions and 2 TDs. Stephon Gilmore led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Dante Fowler Jr. led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Donovan Wilson and Dorance Armstrong each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have the Cowboys listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cowboys have looked really good in their games this season with their 12-5 record overall which won the NFC East. They have been blowing out bad teams in their games all season with a lot of double digit wins under their belt and home advantage has been very important to them with their 8-0 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Packers are 9-8 overall this season and were very fortunate to squeak into the playoffs as they haven't looked great in a lot of their games. They needed to beat the Bears in their last game of the season, which they did, and they have been gaining a lot of momentum lately with their wins, but they have also been beating up on a lot of bad teams lately and this is going to be their 1st real test in a while. They were only 4-5 in their road games this season and they also have the youngest team coming into the playoffs which is going to show in this game. The Cowboys have one of the best defenses in the NFL right now along with an offense that has been rolling lately and when they needed to show up in their final game of the regular season to get this home advantage, they showed up on the road and beat the Commanders 38-10 in another blowout. The Packers have looked good in their games lately but this is not a playoff team and they are just lucky to even be here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cowboys to cover the spread in this game. 

Packers Cowboys Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, January 14, 2024 (4:30 pm ET start time) is Cowboys 42 Packers 14.

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Green Bay Packers: 15-7 ATS as an underdog. 18-10 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 11-5 ATS off a division game. 7-2 OVER in road games. 5-1 OVER against NFC East division opponents. 7-1 OVER after 1 or more consecutive wins.

Dallas Cowboys: 3-6 ATS in the Wild Card round of the playoffs. 5-10 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 7-20 ATS after a win by 28 or more points. 7-2 OVER as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points. 16-8 OVER off a road blowout win by 21 points or more.

Green Bay Packers:  L. Tenuta (OT) day-to-day - Ankle. I. McDuffie (LB) day-to-day - Concussion. A. Dillon (RB) day-to-day - Stinger. C. Jones (OT) day-to-day - Foot. C. Watson (WR) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. R. Ford (S) I-R - Hamstring. S. Toure (WR) I-R - Knee. E. Stokes (CB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. D. Bakhtiari (OT) I-R - Knee. T. Davis (TE) I-R - Knee.

Dallas Cowboys:  T. Smith (OL) day-to-day - Foot. D. Vaughn (RB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. S. McKeon (TE) Out indefinitely - Ankle. L. Vander Esch (LB) I-R - Neck. C. Goodwin (CB) I-R - Pectoral. T. Diggs (CB) I-R - Knee. J. Stephens Jr. (WR) I-R - Knee. D. Durden (WR) I-R - Knee. D. Overshown (LB) I-R - Knee. J. Ball (OT) I-R - Hip.

“I think everyone knew what we were capable of. All the games we lost were close games that we knew there were little things we could fix that would put us over the hump to win those games. I think we were always right there in every game, so that was the thing that was easy for us to keep believing.” - Jordan Love after their win against the Bears in their last game. 

“Look at last year — the way we came into this place and didn't finish the season the way we wanted to — to where we are now. The growth. The coaching staff. The players. The accountability. The communication. The transparency. And both sides of the ball holding their own.” - Dak Prescott after their win against the Commanders in their last game. 

WR Watson, Christian 

WR Doubs, Romeo 

WR Reed, Jayden 

TE Musgrave, Luke 

QB Love, Jordan 

RB Jones, Aaron 

FB Deguara, Josiah 

WR Gallup, Michael 

WR Cooks, Brandin 

WR Lamb, CeeDee 

TE Ferguson, Jake 

QB Prescott, Dak 

RB Pollard, Tony

FB Luepke, Hunter

Passing: J. Love (4159)

Rushing: A. Jones (656)

Receiving: J. Reed (793)

Touchdowns: J. Reed (10)

Passing: D. Prescott (4516)

Rushing: T. Pollard (1005)

Receiving: C. Lamb (1749)

Touchdowns: C. Lamb (14)

Coaches:

Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (5th season)

Dallas Cowboys: Mike McCarthy (4th season)