Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/27/2024

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Apr 25, 2024
Game Time: 10:30 pm ET, Saturday, April 27, 2024
Venue:  T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Where to Watch:  TBS, MAX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Stars -102, Knights -118; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Stars +100, Knights -120; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Stars +100, Knights -120; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Season Record

Dallas Stars:  52-21-9 (1st place, Central Division)
Vegas Golden Knights:  45-29-8 (4th place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Dallas Stars:  6-4-0 last 10
Vegas Golden Knights:  6-4-0 last 10



Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights Preview and Analysis


The Stars are entering this game with 113 points, a 52-21-9 record overall, and they were 26-10-5 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Vegas Golden Knights in their last game, losing that one at home 3-1. Jason Robertson scored 1 goal for them in that game. Jamie Benn and Miro Heiskanen each led the team in assists with 1 while Thomas Harley, Roope Hintz, Wyatt Johnston, and Esa Lindell each led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 25 shots with 23 saves and a .920 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 298 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 234 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.


The Golden Knights are entering this game with 98 points, a 45-29-8 record overall, and they were 27-12-2 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Dallas Stars in their last game, winning that one on the road 3-1. Jack Eichel, Jonathan Marchessault, and Noah Hanifin each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Jack Eichel, Jonathan Marchessault, and Ivan Barbashev each led the team in assists with 1 while Jack Eichel and Shea Theodore each led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Logan Thompson was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 21 shots with 20 saves and a .952 save percentage. Their offense has scored 267 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 245 goals against them allowing 3 goals per game.


Stars vs Golden Knights Prediction

The current betting odds have the Stars listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 3 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Stars from the Central Division and the 2nd seeded Wild Card, the Golden Knights, for Round 1 of the NHL Western Conference playoffs. The Golden Knights have a 2-0 series lead after winning game 2 of this series on the road. The Stars haven't looked great in this series as they find themselves down 2-0 after playing both of their home games, but they have still been a good road team this year and will be desperate to win this game. They had a 26-10-5 road record which isn't much different than their home record as they were a well balanced team this season both at home and on the road. Meanwhile, the Knights have looked a lot better on their home ice this season with their 27-12-2 home record. They are in a great position now with 2 road wins since they have been terrible in their road games this season. The Knights have looked a lot better on home ice this season and they are the defending Stanley Cup champion, showing why in those first 2 games, but the Stars are going to respond in this game since they were one of the best teams in the NHL this year, finishing with the most points in the West, so expect them to bring their best effort in this game or this series could be done in a sweep. This is a must win game for the Stars and they have the talent to get the job done in Vegas. The best way to place a bet here is on the Stars to win this game.

Stars Golden Knights Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Saturday, April 27, 2024 (10:30 pm ET start time) is Stars 3 Knights 2.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert hockey picks today. And if you enjoyed this Dallas Stars Vegas Golden Knights prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NHL predictions and previews.

NHL Betting Trends


Dallas Stars: 38-20 (+10.1 units) on the moneyline after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game. 54-26 (+21.3 units) on the moneyline after allowing 3 goals or more 2 straight games. 17-4 UNDER after playing 4 consecutive home games. 10-5 UNDER in the first round of the playoffs.

Vegas Golden Knights: 47-39 (-9.7 units) on the moneyline after a 2 game unbeaten streak. 26-26 (-9.1 units) on the moneyline after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored. 24-14 UNDER when leading in a playoff series. 13-5 UNDER after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game.

Key Injuries


Dallas Stars:  J. Hakanpaa (D) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. J. Rosburg (D) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.

Vegas Golden Knights:  N. Hague (D) Ques Sat - Lower Body. R. Lehner (G) Out indefinitely - Hip.


Notable Quotes


“Loved our first period. We make one mistake at the end of the first, probably deserved to be up. That was probably a critical point in the game. Eichel, the wrong guy gets behind us at the wrong time. And that’s what they do, they make you pay. So you come out of the first after playing a great period and you have nothing to show for it.” - Pete DeBoer after his team’s loss against the Golden Knights in game 2 of this series on Wednesday.


“We settled in eventually. You don't want 1-0 to turn into 2-0, so we did a good job with that. Go into the intermission 1-1, we haven’t been our best, but we got through it.” - Bruce Cassidy after his team’s win against the Stars in game 2 of this series on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Dallas Stars
LW Robertson, Jason
C Hintz, Roope
RW Pavelski, Joe
LD Harley, Thomas
RD Heiskanen, Miro
G Oettinger, Jake

Vegas Golden Knights
LW Barbashev, Ivan
C Eichel, Jack
RW Marchessault, Jonathan
LD Hanifin, Noah
RD Pietrangelo, Alex
G Thompson, Logan

Statistical Leaders


Dallas Stars
Points: J. Robertson (80)
Goals: W. Johnston (32)
Assists: J. Robertson (51)
GAA: J. Oettinger (2.72)

Vegas Golden Knights
Points: J. Marchessault (69)
Goals: J. Marchessault (42)
Assists: M. Stone (37)
GAA: L. Thompson (2.70)

Coaches:
Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (2nd season)
Vegas Golden Knights: Bruce Cassidy (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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