Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/09/2024

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Thursday, May 9, 2024

Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +5, Thunder -5; Over/Under:  218.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +4.5, Thunder -4.5; Over/Under:  218.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +4.5, Thunder -4.5; Over/Under:  218.5 points

Dallas Mavericks:  50-32 (1st place, Southwest Division)

Oklahoma City Thunder:  57-25 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Dallas Mavericks:  5-5 last 10

Oklahoma City Thunder:  10-0 last 10

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 50-32 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 25-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last game. Kyrie Irving led the team in points in that game with 20 while Luka Dončić was next on the team with 19 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Daniel Gafford led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 39.3% from the field, 34.3% from 3-point range, and 68% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.6 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 52-37 this season and their O/U record is 39-49-1.

The Thunder are entering this game with a 57-25 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 33-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 10 game winning streak with wins coming against the Charlotte Hornets, the Sacramento Kings, the San Antonio Spurs, the Milwaukee Bucks, the Dallas Mavericks, the New Orleans Pelicans 4 times in a row, and the Dallas Mavericks again in their last game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 29 while Chet Holmgren was next on the team with 19 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jaylin Williams each led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 44.9% from the field, 45.7% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.7 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 50-36-1 this season and their O/U record is 45-39-3.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 2 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Thunder and the 5th seeded Mavericks for Round 2 of the NBA Western Conference playoffs. The Thunder have a 1-0 series lead after winning game 1 of this series on their home court. The Thunder looked really good in game 1 with a double digit win over the Mavericks. They haven't lost a game in the playoffs yet, sweeping the Pelicans in Round 1. The Thunder also had one of the best home records in the entire NBA during the regular season, going 33-8 in their home games. The Mavericks played a longer series in the last round, going 6 games with the LA Clippers, and they haven't been 100% with some of their players playing through injuries. The Thunder have one of the youngest teams in the NBA but they were the number 1 seed in the West for a reason and they have showed it so far with their sweep in the 1st round and that performance against the Mavs in game 1. The Thunder also have a ton of momentum on their side with 10 wins in a row now and they have been really tough to beat on their home floor all year. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Mavericks Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, May 9, 2024 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Thunder 122 Mavericks 108.

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Dallas Mavericks: 29-16 ATS in road games. 27-18 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent. 15-7 ATS after a blowout loss by 20 points or more. 15-7 UNDER revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more. 6-3 UNDER after scoring 100 points or less. 5-0 UNDER when the total is 210 to 219.5.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 4-13 ATS after allowing 95 points or less 4 straight games. 12-4 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs. 13-6 UNDER after allowing 100 points or less. 12-7 UNDER after a blowout win by 20 points or more. 4-0 UNDER after 10 or more consecutive wins. 

Dallas Mavericks:  M. Kleber (PF) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. O. Prosper (PF) Out Indefinitely - Ankle. G. Brown III (SF) Out indefinitely - Personal.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  None.

“They’re a great team. Great defensive team, great offensive team. So it’s not going to be easy at all. We’ve got to very good basketball and focused basketball for 48 minutes.” - Luka Doncic after their loss against the OKC Thunder in game 1 of this series on Tuesday.

“He’s just a warrior. Brings the juice every single night. Doncic is a really hard matchup and a great player that didn’t have his best pitch tonight. He’s going to play better than this. Lu made it hard on him. I thought our team made it hard on him.” - Mark Daigneault on Lu Dort after his team’s win against the Mavericks in game 1 of this series on Tuesday.

PG Luka Doncic

SG Kyrie Irving

SF Derrick Jones Jr.

PF P.J. Washington 

C Daniel Gafford

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Josh Giddey

SF Luguentz Dort

PF Jalen Williams

C Chet Holmgren

PPG: L. Doncic (33.9)

APG: L. Doncic (9.8)

Reb/G: L. Doncic (9.2)

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (30.1)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.2)

Reb/G: C. Holmgren (7.9)

Coaches:

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (4th season)