by Rod Pearson
Monday, Apr 29, 2024
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Wednesday, May 1, 2024
Venue: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch: TNT, MAX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Mavericks -2, Clippers +2; Over/Under: 209 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Mavericks -2.5, Clippers +2.5; Over/Under: 209 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Mavericks -2.5, Clippers +2.5; Over/Under: 209.5 points
Season Record
Dallas Mavericks: 50-32 (1st place, Southwest Division)
Los Angeles Clippers: 51-31 (1st place, Pacific Division)
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Recent Form
Dallas Mavericks: 6-4 last 10
Los Angeles Clippers: 5-5 last 10
Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Clippers Preview and Analysis
The Mavericks are entering this game with a 50-32 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 25-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Los Angeles Clippers in their last game. Kyrie Irving led the team in points in that game with 40 while Luka Dončić was next on the team with 29 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Luka Dončić led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 49.4% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.6 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 50-36 this season and their O/U record is 37-48-1.
The Clippers are entering this game with a 51-31 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 25-16 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Dallas Mavericks in their last game. Paul George and James Harden each led the team in points in that game with 33 while Ivica Zubac was next on the team with 13 points. Paul George led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Paul George and James Harden each led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 53.8% from the field, 62.1% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.3 PPG against them. The Clippers have an ATS record of 40-46 this season and their O/U record is 37-47-2.
Mavericks vs Clippers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Mavericks listed as a 2 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 5 of a 7 game series between the 4th seeded Clippers and the 5th seeded Mavericks for Round 1 of the NBA Western Conference playoffs. This series is all tied up 2-2 after the Clippers won game 4 of this series on the road. The Clippers looked great in game 4 to even up the series in Dallas and now they are 2-0 in this series without Kawhi on the court but 0-2 in the games he has played in. As good as they looked in game 4, they pulled out to a really early lead and were up by over 30 points at one point before the Mavericks started to come back in the 2nd half and actually tied the game up just to let it go in the end. The Mavericks really had the Clippers on their heels in that 2nd half though and even though the Clippers found a way to win that game, it wasn't a pretty win after being up by over 30 points in the game. Coming so close in that game is only going to motivate the Mavericks even more to get that game back here and they have been a good road team this season with their 25-16 road record. The Mavericks almost came back to win game 4 and could have been looking at an elimination game here for the Clippers but instead they are all tied up now and the Mavericks will be looking to respond to that loss in a big way. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mavericks to cover the spread in this game.
Mavericks Clippers Prediction: Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, May 1, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Mavericks 102 Clippers 95.
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NBA Betting Trends
Dallas Mavericks: 19-6 ATS as a road favorite. 12-3 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 14-6 ATS after playing 2 consecutive home games. 19-8 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3. 15-4 UNDER against Pacific division opponents. 7-3 UNDER in the first round of the playoffs.
Los Angeles Clippers: 10-20 ATS when tied in a playoff series. 5-14 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog. 7-18 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games. 17-7 UNDER as a home underdog of 6 points or less. 17-4 UNDER against Southwest division opponents. 10-4 UNDER after a win by 6 points or less.
Key Injuries
Dallas Mavericks: O. Prosper (PF) Ques Wed - Ankle. T. Hardaway Jr. (SG) Ques Wed - Ankle. G. Brown III (SF) Out indefinitely - Personal.
Los Angeles Clippers: K. Leonard (SF) Out indefinitely - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“This is like Game 1. Early game, for whatever reason we just haven’t played well. We’ve gotten off to slow starts. That’s just something that we’ve got to talk about as a team. If there’s another afternoon game, we’ve got to make sure we’re ready to go from the jump and we can’t wait.” - Jason Kidd after his team’s loss against the LA Clippers in game 4 of this series on Sunday.
“We knew they would make a run. But also, we didn’t think we’d come into this building and be up 31 points either. So I told our team, just get the win, however you've got to get it. In the playoffs, it don’t matter how you win.” - Tyronn Lue after his team’s win against the Mavericks in game 4 of this series on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Dallas Mavericks
PG Luka Doncic
SG Kyrie Irving
SF Derrick Jones Jr.
PF P.J. Washington
C Daniel Gafford
Los Angeles Clippers
PG James Harden
SG Terance Mann
SF Paul George
PF Kawhi Leonard
C Ivica Zubac
Statistical Leaders
Dallas Mavericks
PPG: L. Doncic (33.9)
APG: L. Doncic (9.8)
Reb/G: L. Doncic (9.2)
Los Angeles Clippers
PPG: K. Leonard (23.7)
APG: J. Harden (8.5)
Reb/G: I. Zubac (9.2)
Coaches:
Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)
Los Angeles Clippers: Tyronn Lue (4th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
