Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/09/2024

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Thursday, May 9, 2024

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Avalanche +110, Stars -130; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Avalanche +110, Stars -130; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Avalanche +110, Stars -130; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Colorado Avalanche:  50-25-7 (3rd place, Central Division)

Dallas Stars:  52-21-9 (1st place, Central Division)

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Colorado Avalanche:  7-2-1 last 10

Dallas Stars:  6-3-1 last 10

The Avalanche are entering this game with 107 points, a 50-25-7 record overall, and they were 19-16-6 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Dallas Stars in their last game, winning that one on the road 4-3 in overtime. Cale Makar, Valeri Nichushkin, Nathan MacKinnon, and Miles Wood each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Cale Makar and Mikko Rantanen each led the team in assists with 2 while Nathan MacKinnon and Valeri Nichushkin each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Alexandar Georgiev was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 22 shots with 19 saves and a .864 save percentage. Their offense has scored 304 goals this season averaging 3.7 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 254 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game.

The Stars are entering this game with 113 points, a 52-21-9 record overall, and they were 26-11-4 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Colorado Avalanche in their last game, losing that one at home 4-3 in OT. Jamie Benn, Ryan Suter, and Wyatt Johnston each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Jamie Benn, Matt Duchene, Miro Heiskanen, Joe Pavelski, and Jason Robertson each led the team in assists with 1 while Tyler Seguin led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 26 shots with 22 saves and a .846 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 298 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 234 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Stars listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 2 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Stars and the 3rd seeded Avalanche from the Central Division for Round 2 of the NHL Western Conference playoffs. The Avalanche have a 1-0 series lead after winning game 1 of this series on the road. The Stars came out fast in game 1 with a 3-0 lead after the 1st period, but they weren't able to keep that Colorado offense off the board as the Avalanche went on to score 4 unanswered goals and win the game in OT. The Stars have to be feeling some deja vu here after losing game 1 on home ice as they lost their first 2 home games in their series against the Golden Knights in Round 1. The Stars managed to pull themselves out of that hole against the defending Stanley Cup champions, but the Avalanche were a better team during the regular season so that will be a tougher challenge for the Stars if it happens again. The Stars are going to bring their best effort on home ice to get that 1st game back and they will throw everything they have at the Avalanche to avoid going into that 2-0 hole again. The Avalanche weren't a great road team during the regular season either and they have now won 5 games in a row after losing game 1 of their series against the Jets in Round 1 so they are due for a loss here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Stars to win this game. 

Avalanche Stars Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Thursday, May 9, 2024 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Stars 5 Avalanche 4.

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Colorado Avalanche: 57-27 (+12.8 units) on the moneyline off a road win. 44-17 (+10 units) on the moneyline after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game. 181-97 (+15.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 27-16 OVER in a road game where the total is 6 or more. 32-20 OVER after one or more consecutive overs. 29-19 OVER after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game.

Dallas Stars: 40-40 (-10.2 units) on the moneyline revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 2-7 (-8.1 units) on the moneyline off a close home loss by 1 goal. 74-64 (-15 units) on the moneyline after playing a home game. 26-15 OVER in a home game where the total is 6 or more. 7-1 OVER in the second round of the playoffs. 12-6 OVER after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game. 

Colorado Avalanche:  J. Kiviranta (LW) Ques Thurs - Lower Body. J. Drouin (LW) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. L. O'Connor (RW) out for season - Hip. G. Landeskog (LW) out for season - Knee.

Dallas Stars:  M. Marchment (LW) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. J. Hakanpaa (D) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. J. Rosburg (D) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.

“Instead of just turning and firing it ... (Cogliano) gets his eyes up and Wood was fresh and went slashing through their D. When Woody gets going like that, he’s hard to stop. He’s fast and he’s powerful, and he just took it to the house.” - Jared Bednar after his team’s win against the Stars in game 1 of this series on Tuesday.

“It’s a tough turnaround for us as a group. I thought we had a great start. The fatigue from Game 7 I thought hit us in the second half of that game.” - Pete DeBoer after his team’s loss against the Avalanche in game 1 of this series on Tuesday.

LW Nichushkin, Valeri

C MacKinnon, Nathan

RW Rantanen, Mikko

LD Toews, Devon

RD Makar, Cale

G Georgiev, Alexandar

LW Robertson, Jason

C Hintz, Roope

RW Stankoven, Logan

LD Harley, Thomas

RD Heiskanen, Miro

G Oettinger, Jake

Points: N. MacKinnon (140)

Goals: N. MacKinnon (51)

Assists: N. MacKinnon (89)

GAA: J. Annunen (2.25)

Points: J. Robertson (80)

Goals: W. Johnston (32)

Assists: J. Robertson (51)

GAA: J. Oettinger (2.72)

Coaches:

Colorado Avalanche: Jared Bednar (8th season)

Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (2nd season)