Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/10/2024

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Wednesday, April 10, 2024

Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA 

Where to Watch:  NESN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -110, Red Sox -110; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -110, Red Sox -110; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -110, Red Sox -110; Over/Under:  9 runs

Baltimore Orioles:  5-4 (3rd place, AL East)

Boston Red Sox:  7-3 (2nd place, AL East)

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Baltimore Orioles:  5-4 last 9

Boston Red Sox:  7-3 last 10

The Orioles are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 5-4 record overall and have a road record of 1-2. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Wednesday and they have the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 20th in the MLB with a .661 OPS. Corbin Burnes is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Cole Irvin is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA this season. His team lost their only game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 3 Ks on 7 hits through 5 IP against the Kansas City Royals.

The Red Sox are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Angels 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 7-3 record overall and have a home record of 0-0. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Wednesday and they have the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .727 OPS. Brayan Bello is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Nick Pivetta is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 1-1 with a 0.82 ERA this season. His team won their last game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 3 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5 innings played against the Oakland Athletics.

The current betting odds have the Red Sox listed as a pick 'em in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Red Sox have looked really good in their games this season with their 7-3 record overall and this series against the Orioles will be their 1st series of the season at home. Meanwhile, the Orioles have looked good in their games this season with their 5-4 record overall, but they haven't been as hot as the Red Sox have been and the Orioles have also struggled more in their road games with their 1-2 road record so far. The Red Sox have been hitting the ball a lot better than the Orioles have been in their games lately, and this has been a common theme all season as the Red Sox have the better OPS coming into this one. The Red Sox also have the better pitching matchup here with Pivetta being 1-1 with a 0.82 ERA. He has pitched well in his 2 starts this season while Irvin has been a lot worse. Irvin is only 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA this season after a terrible start in his last one. The Orioles were the team to beat in the division last season so the Red Sox are going to bring their best effort for this series, especially since it is their home opening series too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Red Sox to win this game.

Orioles Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, April 10, 2024 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 5 Orioles 2.

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Baltimore Orioles: 190-147 (+66.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 92-75 (+45.2 units) on the moneyline in road games. 123-102 (+39.9 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. COLE IRVIN is 10-5 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150 and 6-1 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5.

Boston Red Sox: 163-172 (-17.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 82-81 (-12.2 units) on the moneyline in home games. 50-79 (-27.2 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 44-33 UNDER against left-handed starters. 

Baltimore Orioles:  C. Perez (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. J. Means (SP) Late April - Elbow. K. Bradish (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. F. Bautista (RP) out for season - Elbow.

Boston Red Sox:  N. Pivetta (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. T. Story (2B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. L. Hendriks (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. B. Mata (SP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. C. Murphy (RP) out for season - Elbow. R. Refsnyder (LF) Out indefinitely - Toe. V. Grissom (2B) Late April - Hamstring. L. Giolito (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“You can’t blame Gunnar. Not many people get to that ball.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s loss against the Pirates in their game on Sunday.

“He threw strikes, he moved the ball around and made pitches. He’s in a good spot right now. We needed him to go deeper than five and he did that. And then the offense hit pull-side homers. It was a good day overall and a great road trip.” - Alex Cora on Tanner Houck after his team’s win against the LA Angels in their game on Sunday.

Gunnar Henderson (L) SS

Adley Rutschman (S) C

Anthony Santander (S) RF

Ryan O'Hearn (L) DH

Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B

Cedric Mullins (L) CF

Colton Cowser (L) LF

Ramón Urías (R) 3B

Tony Kemp (L) 2B

Jarren Duran (L) LF

Rafael Devers (L) 3B

Tyler O'Neill (R) RF

Triston Casas (L) 1B

Masataka Yoshida (L) DH

Ceddanne Rafaela (R) CF

Enmanuel Valdez (L) 2B

Reese McGuire (L) C

David Hamilton (L) SS

Batting Average:  Colton Cowser (.455)

Hits:  Ryan Mountcastle (10)

Home Runs:  Gunnar Henderson (2)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (10)

Stolen Bases:  Gunnar Henderson (2)

Wins:  Grayson Rodriguez (2)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (1)

ERA:  Keegan Akin (0.00)

Batting Average:  David Hamilton (.500)

Hits:  Jarren Duran (15)

Home Runs:  Tyler O'Neill (5)

RBI:  Reese McGuire (8)

Stolen Bases:  Jarren Duran (6)

Wins:  Tanner Houck (2)

Saves:  Kenley Jansen (3)

ERA:  Tanner Houck (0.00)

Managers:

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (6th season)

Boston Red Sox: Álex Cora (4th season)