Auburn Tigers vs Georgia Bulldogs Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/05/2024

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 5, 2024

Venue:  Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Auburn +24.5, Georgia -24.5; Over/Under:  52.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Auburn +24.5, Georgia -24.5; Over/Under:  53.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Auburn +24.5, Georgia -24.5; Over/Under:  52.5 points

Auburn Tigers:  2-3 (0-2) (15th place, SEC)

Georgia Bulldogs:  3-1 (1-1) (9th place, SEC)

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Auburn Tigers:  lost their last game at home against the Oklahoma Sooners 27-21.

Georgia Bulldogs:  lost their last game on the road against the Alabama Crimson Tide 41-34.

Auburn is entering this game with a 2-3 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their conference games too. They are 2-3 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Oklahoma 27-21. Payton Thorne was the starting QB and he completed 21/32 passes for 338 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jarquez Hunter led the team in rushing yards with 97. Cam Coleman led the receivers with 82 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Demarcus Riddick led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Demarcus Riddick and Jalen McLeod each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Georgia is entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their conference games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Alabama 41-34. Carson Beck was the starting QB and he completed 27/50 passes for 439 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Trevor Etienne led the team in rushing yards with 55 and 1 TD. Arian Smith led the receivers with 132 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Dan Jackson led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Dan Jackson came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Auburn listed as a 24.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Auburn hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 2-3 record overall and their 0-2 conference record. They lost their first conference game of the season against Arkansas and now they are coming off another conference loss in their last one, losing 27-21 to Oklahoma in a game that they were in control of up until the 4th quarter. Both of their conference losses have been at home too, so this will be their first conference game on the road this season. As bad as they have been against SEC opponents, they will be looking to bounce back in a big way and there is no better way to bounce back than putting up a good performance against one of the best in the country. Meanwhile, Georgia has looked good in their games this season with their 3-1 record overall, but they have struggled more against SEC opponents with their 1-1 conference record. Georgia will be looking to bounce back at home as they are coming off a road loss to Alabama last week, but even their conference win wasn't that impressive. Their win was against Kentucky by just 1 point and they could have easily lost that game with some different coaching decisions by Kentucky. Georgia just hasn't looked as good as they have looked in previous years and with Auburn desperate for a win here after the way they lost at home to Oklahoma, Georgia isn't blowing them out in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on Auburn to cover the spread in this game. 

Auburn Georgia Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 5, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Georgia 27 Auburn 20.

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Auburn Tigers: 6-2 1H ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 4-1 1H ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game. 5-2 1H ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 310 yards/game or less. 10-3 OVER as an underdog. 9-4 OVER after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses. 8-4 OVER vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. 

Georgia Bulldogs: 3-6 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 0-3 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 5-9 1H ATS in home lined games. 8-2 OVER vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. 7-2 OVER versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more. 8-4 OVER vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season.

Auburn Tigers:  C. Coleman (WR) Doubtful - Shoulder. I. Miller (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. McPherson (K) Questionable - Illness. B. Battie (RB) Out - Head.

Georgia Bulldogs:  D. Harris (DB) Questionable - Disciplinary. M. Williams (DL) Out - Ankle. W. Brinson (DL) Out - Undisclosed. R. Robinson (RB) Out - Foot. J. Hall (DL) Out - Leg. X. McLeod (DL) Questionable - Abdominal.

“I’ve got to make sure that (Thorne) understands the situation better, and we should’ve had runs there. I have to be clearer with him on what we have to do there.” - Hugh Freeze after his team’s loss against Oklahoma in their last game. 

“Obviously, we were not really prepared and that falls on me in the first half.” - Kirby Smart after his team’s loss against Alabama in their last game. 

WR Coleman, Cam

WR Lambert-Smith, KeAndre

WR Lewis, Robert 

TE Fairweather, Rivaldo 

QB Brown, Hank 

RB Hunter, Jarquez

WR Bell, Dillon 

WR Smith, Arian 

WR Lovett, Dominic 

TE Delp, Oscar

QB Beck, Carson 

RB Etienne, Trevor

Passing: P. Thorne (1038)

Rushing: J. Hunter (437)

Receiving: K. Lambert-Smith (415)

Touchdowns: K. Lambert-Smith (6)

Passing: C. Beck (1119)

Rushing: T. Etienne (212)

Receiving: A. Smith (274)

Touchdowns: D. Bell (3)

Coaches:

Auburn Tigers: Hugh Freeze (2nd season)

Georgia Bulldogs: Kirby Smart (9th season)