Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/17/2024

Game Time: 2:10 pm ET, Wednesday, April 17, 2024

Venue:  Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX

Where to Watch:  BSSE

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -135, Astros +115; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -135, Astros +115; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -135, Astros +115; Over/Under:  9 runs

Atlanta Braves:  10-5 (1st place, NL East)

Houston Astros:  6-12 (5th place, AL West)

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Atlanta Braves:  7-3 last 10

Houston Astros:  4-6 last 10

The Braves are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 10-5 record overall and have a road record of 6-3. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Astros on Wednesday and they have the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .852 OPS. Reynaldo López is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Max Fried is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 1-0 with a 8.74 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 4 hits through 6.1 IP against the Miami Marlins.

The Astros are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 6-12 record overall and have a home record of 4-7. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Wednesday and they have the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .773 OPS. Hunter Brown is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while J.P. France is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 0-2 with a 8.22 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 8 earned runs, 1 homer, and 4 BB with 3 strikeouts on 8 hits through 4 innings played against the Texas Rangers.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have looked really good in their games this season with their 10-5 record overall and their 6-3 road record. They already won the series opener of this series against the Astros and they have one of the best offenses in the MLB, if not the best, to start the season. Meanwhile, the Astros have looked terrible in their games this season with their 6-12 record overall and their 4-7 home record. They were putting up runs in their last series against the Rangers but they only scored 1 run in the series opener against the Braves as their offense has dried up again. They do have one of the best offenses in the MLB right now, but they have been so hit or miss compared to the Braves with their consistency. The Braves also have the much better pitching matchup in this game with Fried starting. Fried has been pitching well this season and has been a really good starter throughout his career, not giving up many runs in his starts. Brown is going to be on the mound for the Astros though and he is having a terrible start to this season. He has been giving up multiple runs in all of his starts this year and he is coming off a really bad start in his last one. The Braves have been the much hotter team coming into this one and everything here points to another Braves win in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game.

Braves Astros Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, April 17, 2024 (2:10 pm ET start time) is Braves 7 Astros 2.

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Atlanta Braves: 217-130 (+18.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 196-97 (+29.4 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 104-71 (+7.4 units) on the moneyline in road games. 10-4 OVER in all games. 10-4 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher. 19-11 OVER against AL West opponents.

Houston Astros: 6-12 (-8.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 5-12 (-9.4 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 105-81 (-28.2 units) on the moneyline in home games. 3-1 OVER in day games. J.P. FRANCE is 5-2 OVER in day games.

Atlanta Braves:  S. Strider (SP) out for season - Elbow. A. Perdomo (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. S. Murphy (C) Out indefinitely - Oblique.

Houston Astros:  F. Valdez (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. O. Ortega (RP) Late July - Elbow. B. Sousa (RP) out for season - Shoulder. L. Garcia (SP) Mid July - Elbow. P. Murfee (SP) Mid July - Elbow. K. Graveman (RP) out for season - Shoulder. J. Urquidy (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. J. Verlander (SP) Late April - Shoulder. L. McCullers Jr. (SP) Early July - Forearm.

“Once he was out there and kind of got his sweat going and got into a rhythm, he started pitching and mixing his pitches.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Astros in their game on Monday.

“He’s getting after it. He’s just missing locations, but his stuff is pretty good. Just location, behind in the count, leadoff walk, but he’s been successful for a very long time. Stuff will click.” - Joe Espada after his team’s loss against the Braves in their game on Monday.

Ronald Acuña Jr. (R) RF

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Travis d'Arnaud (R) C

Jarred Kelenic (L) LF

Luis Guillorme (L) SS

Jose Altuve (R) 2B

Yordan Alvarez (L) DH

Kyle Tucker (L) RF

Alex Bregman (R) 3B

Yainer Diaz (R) C

Chas McCormick (R) LF

Jeremy Peña (R) SS

José Abreu (R) 1B

Mauricio Dubón (R) CF

Batting Average:  Jarred Kelenic (.387)

Hits:  Marcell Ozuna (23)

Home Runs:  Marcell Ozuna (7)

RBI:  Marcell Ozuna (22)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (7)

Wins:  Pierce Johnson (2)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (3)

ERA:  Reynaldo López (0.75)

Batting Average:  Jose Altuve (.403)

Hits:  Jose Altuve (29)

Home Runs:  Jose Altuve (5)

RBI:  Kyle Tucker (13)

Stolen Bases:  Jeremy Peña (2)

Wins:  Cristian Javier (2)

Saves:  Josh Hader (1)

ERA:  Dylan Coleman (0.00)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (9th season)

Houston Astros: Joe Espada (1st season)