Alabama Crimson Tide vs UConn Huskies Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 04/06/2024

Game Time: 8:49 pm ET, Saturday, April 6, 2024

Venue:  State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ

Where to Watch:  TBS, MAX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Alabama +11.5, UConn -11.5; Over/Under:  160 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Alabama +11.5, UConn -11.5; Over/Under:  160 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Alabama +11.5, UConn -11.5; Over/Under:  160.5 points

Alabama Crimson Tide:  25-11 (13-5) (2nd place, SEC)

UConn Huskies:  35-3 (18-2) (1st place, Big East)

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Alabama Crimson Tide:  4-1  last 5

UConn Huskies:  5-0  last 5

Alabama is entering this game with a 25-11 record overall, a 13-5 record in conference games, and they are 6-4 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Clemson Tigers in their last game. Mark Sears led the team in points per game in that game with 23 while Jarin Stevenson was next on the team with 19. Rylan Griffen led the team in assists with 8 in that game while Nick Pringle led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 46.8% from the field, 44.4% from 3-point range, and 68.2% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 90.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 81.1 PPG against them. Alabama has an ATS record of 21-15 this season and their O/U record is 27-9.

UConn is entering this game with a 35-3 record overall, an 18-2 conference record, and they are 10-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Illinois Fighting Illini in their last game. Donovan Clingan led the team in points in that game with 22 while Cam Spencer and Hassan Diarra each were next on the team with 11. Cam Spencer, Tristen Newton, and Stephon Castle each led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Cam Spencer led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 51.7% from the field, 17.6% from 3-point range, and 70.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 81.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 63.3 PPG against them. UConn has an ATS record of 26-12 this season and their O/U record is 16-21-1.

The current betting odds have UConn listed as an 11.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. UConn has looked great in their games this season with their 35-3 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country and also ranked as one of the best in the nation. They have looked great in the Big East this year with their 18-2 conference record which led the way and they also went on to win their conference tournament. They have looked great in this tournament too as they are the defending champions from last year and they have looked great in their neutral site games with their 10-0 record in those games this season. Meanwhile, Alabama has also looked good in their games this season with their 25-11 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country. They haven't really cracked the top 10 all season though and as good as they looked in the SEC, they still had a 13-5 conference record which wasn't the best in the SEC and they didn't go far in their conference tournament either. They have looked good in this tournament so far but even then, they haven't had the strongest road to the Final Four and they are only 6-4 in their neutral site games this season. Alabama has looked good lately but they usually fall short in these big games against stronger teams and with the way UConn has been rolling over every team in this tournament, Alabama just doesn't have the talent to compete with UConn being the much deeper team too. The best way to place a bet here is on UConn to cover the spread in this game. 

Alabama UConn Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, April 6, 2024 (8:49 pm ET start time) is UConn 86 Alabama 62.

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Alabama Crimson Tide: 3-6 ATS as an underdog. 12-30 ATS after 2 straight games where both teams score 75 points or more. 1-8 ATS after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals. 26-10 UNDER as an underdog of 10 or more points. 44-28 UNDER after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers. 

UConn Huskies: 26-12 ATS in all games. 10-1 ATS in all neutral court games. 33-13 ATS after a win by 15 points or more. 8-3 UNDER in all neutral court games. 12-7 UNDER after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite. 18-10 UNDER after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers. 

Alabama Crimson Tide:  L. Wrightsell Jr. (G) Prob Sat - Head. D. Cosby Jr. (G) Out indefinitely - Foot.

UConn Huskies:  None.

“I live for those moments. This is what March Madness is about. When you’re a kid, you want to be in these moments. It feels like my dream came true today. My dream definitely came true today.” - Mark Sears after their win against Clemson in their last game in the Elite 8 of the NCAA Tournament on Saturday.

“We’re going to be tough to beat. It was a special level of basketball that we were playing.” - Dan Hurley after his team’s win against Illinois in their last game in the Elite 8 of the NCAA Tournament on Saturday.

A. Estrada 

R. Griffen 

G. Nelson 

N. Pringle 

M. Sears

S. Castle 

D. Clingan 

A. Karaban 

T. Newton 

C. Spencer

PPG: M. Sears (21.1)

APG: A. Estrada (4.5)

Reb/G: G. Nelson (5.7)

PPG: T. Newton (15)

APG: T. Newton (5.8)

Reb/G: T. Newton (7.1)

Coaches:

Alabama Crimson Tide: Nate Oats (5th season)

UConn Huskies: Dan Hurley (6th season)