Winnipeg Jets vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/28/2024

Game Time: 2:30 pm ET, Sunday, April 28, 2024

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Jets +140, Avalanche -166; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Jets +140, Avalanche -165; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Jets +140, Avalanche -165; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Winnipeg Jets:  52-24-6 (2nd place, Central Division)

Colorado Avalanche:  50-25-7 (3rd place, Central Division)

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Winnipeg Jets:  8-2-0 last 10

Colorado Avalanche:  5-4-1 last 10

The Jets are entering this game with 110 points, a 52-24-6 record overall, and they were 25-13-3 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Colorado Avalanche in their last game, losing that one on the road 6-2. Josh Morrissey and Tyler Toffoli each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Dylan DeMelo, Nikolaj Ehlers, Sean Monahan, and Mark Scheifele each led the team in assists with 1 while Dylan DeMelo and Nate Schmidt each led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. Connor Hellebuyck was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 5 goals on 39 shots with 34 saves and a .872 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 259 goals this season averaging 3.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 199 goals against them allowing 2.4 goals per game.

The Avalanche are entering this game with 107 points, a 50-25-7 record overall, and they were 31-9-1 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Winnipeg Jets in their last game, winning that one at home 6-2. Nathan MacKinnon, Devon Toews, Ross Colton, Artturi Lehkonen, Valeri Nichushkin, and Zach Parise each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Casey Mittelstadt led the team in assists with 3 while Nathan MacKinnon led the team in shots on net in that game with 8. Alexandar Georgiev was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 24 shots with 22 saves and a .917 save percentage. Their offense has scored 304 goals this season averaging 3.7 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 254 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Avalanche listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 4 of a 7 game series between the 2nd seeded Jets and the 3rd seeded Avalanche from the Central Division for Round 1 of the NHL Western Conference playoffs. The Avalanche have a 2-1 series lead after winning game 3 of this series on their home ice. The Avalanche have looked great on home ice all season with their 31-9-1 home record which is one of the best home records in the entire NHL. The Avalanche also have a really strong offense that has been key in this series with the goals they have been scoring. The Jets don't have an offense as good as the Avalanche and normally they would make up for it by having one of the best defenses in the NHL, not giving up many goals this season, but the Jets have shown in this series that their defense will only take them so far and they don't have the offense to keep up with the Avalanche either. Game 3 was a perfect example of this as the Jets carried a 2-1 lead into the 3rd period with their great defense, but eventually the Avalanche offense was too much for them as they went on to score 5 goals in the 3rd period, winning 6-2. Without defense, the Jets don't have much in this series and the Jets defense has definitely been terrible in this series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Avalanche to win this game. 

Jets Avalanche Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Sunday, April 28, 2024 (2:30 pm ET start time) is Avalanche 5 Jets 1.

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Winnipeg Jets: 19-8 (+13.2 units) on the moneyline off a loss against a division rival. 55-36 (+13.7 units) on the moneyline after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored. 7-1 OVER in the first round of the playoffs. 6-3 OVER after allowing 5 goals or more.

Colorado Avalanche: 23-23 (-16.8 units) on the moneyline off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more. 51-37 (-13.3 units) on the moneyline after playing a game where 8 or more total goals were scored. 31-19 OVER after one or more consecutive overs. 20-8 OVER off a win by 3 goals or more over a division rival.

Winnipeg Jets:  M. Barron (C) Early May - Lower Body.

Colorado Avalanche:  J. Drouin (LW) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. L. O'Connor (RW) out for season - Hip. G. Landeskog (LW) out for season - Knee.

“We’ve got to stop looking for that extra play and just do what they (Avalanche) do — throw it at the net. Clearly the discipline in the third period and the penalty kill just took us out of the game." - Rick Bowness after his team’s loss against the Avalanche in game 3 of this series on Friday.

“We didn’t sit back on our heels and I think we kind of just took it to them. When we play with that speed, we play with that energy, we’re a good team. ... Credit to the guys in the room for just sticking with the process and putting ourselves in a good situation.” - Ross Colton after their win against the Jets in game 3 of this series on Friday.

LW Connor, Kyle

C Scheifele, Mark

RW Vilardi, Gabriel

LD Morrissey, Joshua

RD DeMelo, Dylan

G Hellebuyck, Connor

LW Nichushkin, Valeri

C MacKinnon, Nathan

RW Rantanen, Mikko

LD Toews, Devon

RD Makar, Cale

G Georgiev, Alexandar

Points: M. Scheifele (72)

Goals: K. Connor (34)

Assists: J. Morrissey (59)

GAA: L. Brossoit (2.00)

Points: N. MacKinnon (140)

Goals: N. MacKinnon (51)

Assists: N. MacKinnon (89)

GAA: J. Annunen (2.25)

Coaches:

Winnipeg Jets: Rick Bowness (2nd season)

Colorado Avalanche: Jared Bednar (8th season)